差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

所有目光轉向美國通膨數據

本週的重大事件是美國最新的通膨報告,市場即將出現波動。

NAS 100 – Daily Chart

納斯達克100指數-日圖

納斯達克100指數一直在緩慢走高,上升趨勢開始顯得陡峭。如果拋售到來,投資人應該警惕市場的長期回檔。

彭博社報道稱,摩根大通分析師對本週CPI通膨數據的波動性提出了警告。根據當日到期的跨式交易的價格,選擇權市場的定價顯示,截至週四,選擇權價格將向兩個方向波動約0.9%。通膨上升可能終結聯準會今年兩次降息的希望。

週四的報告將於香港時間晚上8點30分發布,但可能會延續到週五,甚至下週。市場預期通膨率將從5月的3.3%降至3.1%。

本週,在聯準會主席鮑威爾暗示降息,但也表示就業市場正在降溫後,交易員們持觀望態度。

鮑威爾對國會表示:“我們不僅僅是一家以通膨為目標的央行。”“我們還有就業任務。”

鮑威爾本週表示,聯準會在降低通膨方面取得了“相當大的進展”,但他警告稱,降息“太晚或太少可能會過度削弱經濟活動和就業”。

大多數經濟學家預計,聯準會將在9月首次降息。鮑威爾拒絕證實他是何時看到第一次降息的。

各種市場都對聯準會今年是否會降息兩次感到困惑。週四的數據將嚴重影響這項決定,並波及股票、加密貨幣、債券和外匯

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