差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

澳幣兌紐元匯率繼續走高

紐西蘭經濟即將公佈消費者價格數據,可能會影響澳幣兌紐元走勢。

AUDNZD – Daily Chart

澳幣兌紐元-日圖

澳元兌紐元在最近測試了1.11之後仍然處於高位。最新數據可能決定市場是回檔還是再次走高。

紐西蘭CPI數據將於香港時間上午5:45公佈,預計為2.1%。這將低於2.2%的通膨率,而更低的通膨率可能會傷及該貨幣對

香港時間上午8點,西太平洋銀行將發布澳洲領先指標報告。澳洲經濟在就業方面保持了彈性,但批評人士表示,許多人來自公共部門。

隨著通貨膨脹率回到目標水平,澳洲儲備銀行預計將在明年降息。

澳洲央行一直將利率維持在4.35%,而紐西蘭的利率為4.25%。但紐西蘭元最近因經濟惡化而被拋售。未來一年的物價走勢將在很大程度上取決於各國央行,因為交易員要看誰先行動,行動幅度有多大。

經濟學家預計,紐西蘭的年通膨率將與紐西蘭央行在12月當季的預測一致。這可能導致2月降息50個基點。在澳大利亞,聯邦銀行的Gareth Aird表示,最近的勞動力市場數據和工資下降支持了利率可以下調的觀點。

他說:“澳洲應該能夠將失業率維持在4%左右,並將通膨維持在目標區間內。”

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