差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

聯準會決議和澳洲通膨讓澳幣/美元反彈面臨風險

AUDUSD – Daily Chart

澳幣兌美元-日圖

澳元兌美元從近期高點0.6800上方滑落,雖然反彈至0.6525,但反彈一直很弱,數據可能會顯示該貨幣對再次瞄準該支撐位。

澳洲經濟的第一個數據是香港時間上午8:30發布的通膨數據。 分析師預計這一比例將從5.4%大幅下降至4.3%。 由於利率上升和通貨膨脹的壓力,該國的經濟已經疲軟。

週二,IMF上調了預測,稱澳洲經濟今年將成長1.4%,較先前的年度預測成長0.2%。 預計到2024年,通貨膨脹率也將降至2.6%的平均值。

本月早些時候,IMF建議澳洲央行進一步提高利率,“以確保通膨在2026年之前回到目標水平”,這與市場認為央行已經結束激進的貨幣緊縮政策的觀點相左。 如果有進一步加息的跡象,這將刺激對美元的大幅反彈。

聯準會本周也召開會議,宣布最新的利率計畫。 該聲明將在周四亞洲市場開盤前公佈,但可能會在接下來的幾個交易日顯著推動澳元兌美元的走勢。

預計聯準會將連續第四次會議將目前的短期利率維持在5.25%-5.5%的22年高點。 然而,一些經濟學家希望聯準會最早在3月再次開始降息,這意味著它可能會在本週表明自己的意圖。

任何進一步降息的暗示都可能使澳元重拾之前的強勢。 聯準會會議結束後,交易員將關注上個月疲軟的美國供應管理學會(ISM)製造業數據,此後美國就業數據將作為本週交易結束的指引。

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