差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

澳元/美元等待就業數據尋反彈

週三公佈的美國的通貨膨脹率仍居高不下,而澳大利亞的就業數據有所上升。

AUDUSD: Daily Chart

澳元/美元日圖

澳元兌美元在0.6420處交投,並希望測試0.6458阻力位以獲得進一步上漲。

油價上漲被認為是美國最新通脹數據上漲的主要原因,這將重新引發對通貨膨脹和經濟衰退的擔憂。 8月份的通貨膨脹率自2022年6月以來首次上升至3.7%。

物價漲幅仍低於去年夏天創下的幾十年來最高的通脹率,去年6月通脹率達到9.1%的峰值。然而,最近的通貨膨脹率上升仍然意味著美國經濟離美聯儲2%的目標利率更遠,這可能會讓官員們考慮今年再次加息。

導致通脹數據居高不下的是包括天然氣和石油在內的大宗商品價格,在俄羅斯和沙特阿拉伯繼續大幅削減供應後,大宗商品價格在過去一個月上漲了10.5%。核心通脹率,即扣除能源和食品行業的商品和服務價格,從7月份的4.7%降至8月份的4.3%。然而,它仍然遠高於美聯儲2%的目標利率。

一些分析人士擔心,澳大利亞勞動力市場已經見頂,失業率徘徊在歷史低點附近,幾乎沒有改善的空間。

去年,澳大利亞的就業報告有六次超過預期。然而,當它們上升時通常帶來重要的影響。澳大利亞經濟在5月份增加了76,500個職位,是預期的五倍多,而在3月份增加了60,000個職位,是早期預期的三倍。

澳大利亞儲備銀行密切關注就業數據,如果就業數據上升,將繼續引發對進一步加息的擔憂。

在上週舉行的最近一次9月份董事會會議上,澳儲行將現金利率維持在4.1%,為2012年年中以來的最高水平。

即將離任的央行行長洛威在一份附帶聲明中表示:“澳大利亞的通脹已超過峰值,7月CPI月度指標顯示進一步下降。但通脹仍然過高,而且還將持續一段時間。”

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