差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

中國股市等待零售銷售和工業數據

週一,中國將公佈零售銷售和工業生產數據。

CHI 50 – Daily Chart

CHI50-日線圖

自2024年10月以來,CHI50指數一直在區間內交易,支撐位再次位於12930點。上行目標為14359點。

工業生產數據將於香港時間上午10點公佈,分析師預計將從6.2%降至5.3%。同時,美國公佈了零售數據,經濟學家預計增幅將從3.7%升至4%。

摩根士丹利首席中國經濟學家Robin Xing最近討論了中國經濟的前景。他談到了北京對技術創新的關注和最近的經濟刺激計劃。
在9月轉向刺激政策之前,進展緩慢,3月以來通縮壓力不斷加大。在地方政府債務互換計劃和住房救助計劃之後,政府推出了旨在提振消費者的刺激措施。

中國經濟處於穩定的軌道上,但成長和消費緩慢。川普的關稅舉措並不受歡迎,但中國一直期待著他的到來。

中國的改革和刺激方針是“先建新後廢舊”,重點是政策和預期引導的漸進式變化。這是自2023年以來在官方文件中傳達的立場。

他認為,海外投資者對中國資產產生了新的興趣,這可能是全球需求的開始。這種轉變將提振香港,因為它在地緣政治逆風中起到緩衝作用。

儘管徵收了關稅,但許多中國公司在其他市場開展業務,幫助它們減輕了影響。他們正在出口更複雜的產品,如汽車、電池、資本貨物和人形機器人。這使得他們能夠降低關稅,因為他們的商品的增值部分現在更高了。

CHI50指數目前處於支撐位和阻力位明確的交易區間,以應對任何突破。

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