差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元/澳元提供波動機會

由於通脹數據可能影響未來兩天的價格,歐元兌澳元令人擔憂。

歐元有望守住1.5400支撐位,但周一將面臨核心通脹數據和第三季度GDP數據。隨後,澳大利亞央行將在周二會議上決定加息。

歐元/澳元日圖

euraud daily chart

歐洲最新的通脹數據是10月份的核心通脹率,預計將上升0.1%至4.9%。歐元區第三季度GDP增速的初步預估為0.2%。如果通脹率更高或GDP更低,歐元兌澳元可能會下跌。

週二亞洲市場開盤前,預計澳大利亞央行將再次加息0.25%至2.85%。

然而,一些分析人士預測,在墨爾本杯當天,利率將上調0.50%,屆時澳大利亞將靜觀全球最重要的賽馬賽事之一。

西太平洋銀行預計貸款利率將再上調50個基點,但匯豐分析師Paul Bloxham不同意這種看法。 “我不認為他們會再次以50個基點的幅度加息,”他表示。他補充稱,之後加息將變得”更加複雜”,因為下次會議將在2月舉行。

西太平洋銀行表示:“週三高於預期的通脹數據可能是一個障礙。然而,這並不足以讓澳大利亞央行完全偏離軌道。”

“儘管澳儲行更有可能堅持加息25個基點的標準,但兩次加息的可能性非常大。”

“到那時,全球經濟將開始迅速放緩。”

歐洲已經越來越接近衰退。歐央行上週將利率提高到1.5%,使得借款和債務償還更加昂貴。在最新的通貨膨脹率達到9.9%之後,歐洲央行上調了預測。

麥格理表示:“歐洲央行上個月剛剛發布的大幅下調增長預期,看上去已經過時,而且過於樂觀……我們預計,歐洲央行可能會在未來幾個月再加息100個基點,將政策推入限制性區間。”

歐元兌澳元在周二應該會出現波動,這將決定本週馀下時間的匯率走勢。

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