差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌英鎊週二面臨密集的經濟數據公佈

歐元兌英鎊匯率在周二之前有三個關鍵的經濟數據發布。

eurgbp chart

歐元兌英鎊-日圖

歐元兌英鎊已在5月高點觸及阻力位,即將公佈的數據可能會促使其回調至0.8650或再走高。

首個數據將於香港時間下午3點發布,包括英國就業數據。 幾小時後,歐洲第三季GDP成長預期將公佈。 同時,德國ZEW經濟景氣指數也將公佈。

數據自2月的28.1下降後,最新數據可能比上個月的5有所改善。 然而,英國的就業人數將會下降,從上個月的-8.2萬人上升到-19.8萬人。

失業率也預計從4.2%小幅上升至4.3%。 歐元成長數據預計將小幅下滑,從0.2%降至-0.1%。

根據國際貨幣基金組織的預測,歐洲經濟可望避免衰退。 然而,讓通膨回落到目標水準可能需要數年時間。

根據國際貨幣基金組織的說法,即使經過一年的升息以降低通貨膨脹,歐洲經濟也不太可能崩潰。 薪資上漲在幫助歐洲經濟復甦的同時,也增加了通膨壓力,尤其是在生產力成長與之不匹配的情況下。

歐洲央行行長拉加德最近暗示利率接近峰值,但補充說,至少在“未來幾個季度”,歐洲央行不會開始降息。

耶倫的言論得到了英國央行行長貝利的呼應。 貝利表示,他對通膨回歸正常水平感到“樂觀”,但警告稱,借貸成本在一段時間內仍將居高不下。

貝利表示,英國央行最近的預測預計,到2025年,通膨水準將回升至2%。 他補充說,現在討論降息「還為時過早」。

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