差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐洲股市被關稅拖累

歐洲股市遭遇8月以來最大跌幅,因交易員擔心出口關稅。

GER 30 – Daily Chart

GER30 -日線圖

德國藍籌股指數下跌至21703點,多頭市場開始崩盤。下一個支撐位在21,250點和20,500點。

歐洲銀行股今年領漲,也是受衝擊最嚴重的板塊之一,下跌5.5%。在川普午夜後對汽車進口徵收關稅後,汽車製造商也受到了傷害,今年迄今的跌幅擴大至-7.2%。

法國和德國目前正在推動更積極的關稅回應,這可能會加強歐盟的談判立場。川普貿易戰的大幅升級可能會抹去歐洲央行對今明兩年歐元區擴張的很大一部分預測。

巴黎Carmignac的Kevin Thozet表示:“問題在於,這能多快轉化為實實在在的經濟數據。”

債券市場以及公用事業和房地產等避險資產上漲,因投資者降低風險,將資金轉移至防禦性股票。在這種不確定的時期,投資人現在關注的是收入,他們等著看各國如何用自己的對策反擊。

對關稅的擔憂動搖了今年提振歐洲股市的正面情緒,市場的焦點是德國政府支出增加和利率下降。今年第一季度,斯托克歐洲600指數比標準普爾500指數高出了創紀錄的近15個百分點。

歐洲的經濟情勢並不足以支撐股市創下歷史新高,而後期的多頭正為此付出代價。

薩夫拉-薩拉辛銀行股票策略師沃爾夫•馮•羅特伯格表示:“這一聲明幾乎是市場最糟糕的情況。”

「互惠關稅的規模及其即時性將給全球貿易帶來巨大壓力。全球經濟放緩似乎幾乎不可避免,美國也無法倖免。由於歐洲和全球股市的定價尚未考慮到這種情況,它們可能不得不進一步調整,以適應下行趨勢。”

投資者持謹慎態度,因為製藥、木材和半導體等行業仍有關稅懸而未決。在情況明朗、投資人看到初步經濟數據之前,我們可能仍會看到歐洲債市和防禦型股票表現優於其他市場的趨勢。

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