差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美國CPI數據公佈後,歐元兌美元匯率持續走低

在聯準會最近降息後,美國消費者物價上漲,歐元兌美元匯率持續下跌。

EURUSD - Daily Chart

歐元美元-日線圖

歐元兌美元的價格已經跌破1.10的水平,並繼續向下探索。 1.09075的支撐位是1.08的防線。

在美國9月消費者物價指數漲幅超乎預期後,美元走強。還有跡象表明,勞動力市場走弱,申請失業救濟人數上升。初請失業金人數升至14個月高點,但受颶風海倫影響,數據可能有偏差。颶風海倫導致北卡羅來納州和佛羅裡達州初請失業金人數激增。在最近的米爾頓颶風之後,這種情況可能會惡化。

然而,紐約聯邦儲備銀行行長威廉斯發表了一些鴿派言論,他表示:「展望未來,根據我目前對經濟的預測,我預計隨著時間的推移,繼續將貨幣政策立場轉向更中性的設定將是合適的。

這可能與已經達到的高利率水平有關,但在最新數據公佈後,投資者正在降低對降息的預期。

9月CPI年從8月的2.5%降至2.4%,強於預期的2.3%。扣除食品和能源的CPI指數意外地從8月的3.2%上升至3.3%。

本周初請失業金人數增加3.3萬人,至25.8萬人,14個月高位,低於預期的23萬人。

隨著以色列對黎巴嫩發動地面和空中進攻,中東緊張局勢也支撐了美元。市場也在等待以色列對上週二伊朗飛彈攻擊的回應。

另一個對歐元不利的因素是德國經濟的持續疲軟,預計德國經濟將連續第二年下滑。經濟部表示,歐洲最大的經濟體預計在2024年萎縮0.2%,使其成為七國集團中唯一產出萎縮的成員國。

歐元兌美元走得太遠,歐洲經濟走弱的現實和與美國類似的利率路徑正在匯率中發揮作用,同時還有避險資金流入。

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