差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐洲選舉消息拖累導致歐元兌美元大跌

歐洲民粹主義政黨的支持率激增,導致歐元兌美元大跌。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

歐元兌美元-日圖

歐元兌美元受到選舉結果的沉重打擊,上週我們已經注意到阻力。強勁的非農就業數據導致拋售,選舉消息推動歐元測試1.0735,疲軟可能持續到選舉確定為止。

歐洲政治領域最大的衝擊是法國總統馬克宏的重大失敗。馬克宏呼籲提前舉行選舉,這是一場重大的政治豪賭,可能會讓他失去在歐洲高層的席位。進一步的結果顯示,比利時首相辭職,而民粹主義政黨在荷蘭和德國崛起。

在先前的選舉中,這些政黨支持脫離歐盟或單一貨幣。然而,他們的立場現在似乎從內部進一步控制了它。

根據公共廣播公司RAI報道,喬治亞·梅洛尼的極右翼政黨也贏得了大多數義大利選票。

由於對美國降息的預期增強,歐元在最近幾個交易日一直在上漲。但在最新的選舉結果出爐後,交易員的優柔寡斷現在又回到了他們的腦海中,導致未來幾週和幾個月的混亂。

總理奧拉夫·肖爾茨週一表示,歐洲選舉結果對德國政府聯合政黨不利。

舒茲領導的社會民主黨位居第三,僅次於基督教民主聯盟和極右派的德國新選擇黨。

肖爾茨表示:「沒有人會被建議簡單地恢復一切正常。」他補充稱,極右翼政黨的勝利可能會破壞該地區的穩定。

「我們不得不擔心這一點。你永遠不可能習慣它,而把它們再次推回去總是一項任務,」他說。

本週,我們將獲得歐元兌美元的重要數據。香港時間週三晚間將公佈通膨數據,聯準會將在周四凌晨作出利率決定並舉行記者會。本週,隨著大型交易商重新調整先前的預期,該貨幣對可能會進一步波動。

分析師預計通膨率將維持在3.4%的水平,而聯準會在記者會上的評論將比利率決定更有影響力。

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