差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐洲央行降息預期上升,歐元兌美元跌破1.1100

由於對歐洲央行降息的預期越來越高,歐元兌美元週一跌至1.1100以下。由於投資人越來越預期歐洲央行將在9月12日的會議上降息25個基點,歐元兌美元匯率當日下跌0.44%,收在1.1036。市場也正在為歐洲央行下調經濟成長和通膨預期做準備。

EURUSD Drops Below 1.1100 as ECB Rate Cut Fears Rise

歐元兌美元日走勢圖

交易員持謹慎態度,預計歐洲央行將採取更溫和的方式來支持經濟。同時,人們的注意力轉向了即將發布的美國消費者物價指數報告,這可能會影響聯準會的下一次利率決定。目前,市場預測聯準會降息25個基點的可能性為70%,降息50個基點的可能性為30%。

儘管歐元疲軟,美國市週一收盤走高,受美國關鍵通膨報告公佈前積極的風險情緒推動。在歐洲,對歐洲央行降息的預期已導致市場消化到今年底降息至多75個基點的預期。

從技術面來看,歐元兌美元前景保持中性至略微看漲。然而,值得注意的是,如果該貨幣對跌破9月3日的低點1.1026,它可能會進一步下跌,測試重要支撐位1.1000和50日移動均線1.0958。如果這些水準被突破,下一個目標可能在1.0867-1.0858附近。另一方面,如果突破9月9日的高點1.1091,則表明歐元將回歸上行勢頭。

隨著本週的進展,交易員將繼續高度參與,密切關注關鍵經濟數據,包括德國通膨和歐元區工業生產數據,以及美國CPI報告。這些報告至關重要,因為它們可以為歐洲央行和聯準會的未來行動提供更多的見解,可能會推動歐元/美元的下一步走勢。

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