差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌美元以平價為目標開啟新年

歐元兌美元匯率以1.0350開局,交易者熱議歐元與美元達到平價的可能性。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

歐元兌美元 – 日線圖

歐元兌美元的價格在1.06和2023年低點1.045附近遇到阻力。接下來的走勢可能清晰指向1.00的平價水準。

歐洲地區更容易受到美國候任總統川普計劃提高進口關稅的影響。美國是歐盟出口的大買家,涉及汽車、化學和奢侈品等領域。

歐洲經濟正因德國的經濟衰退及其他國家接近零成長而陷入困境。這對單一貨幣(歐元)施加了巨大壓力,也幾乎讓德國總理和法國總統的職位岌岌可危。

歐元的疲軟與全球範圍內美元的強勢相呼應。市場對川普領導下的美國經濟成長充滿期待,美元需求因此成長。投資者希望即將上任的總統能解決國家的支出問題。

大選後,至少有10家大型銀行預計歐元將進一步走弱,其中一些預測2025年匯率將跌破1的平價水準。關於平價的預期並非一致,因為一些分析師認為川普政策提案的實施速度可能會較慢。美國本週五將迎來重要的議長投票,而共和黨內部在川普計畫的削減支出方面仍存在一些分歧。

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