差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌美元上升趨勢可能隨美國通膨數據而改變

本週來自美國經濟的通膨數據應該會決定歐元兌美元貨幣對是否仍處於上升趨勢。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

歐元兌美元-日線圖

歐元兌美元自去年10月以來一直攀升至1.11的高點。 如果突破目前的趨勢線支撐位,該貨幣對的目標可能是1.075。

數據將於香港時間週四晚上9:30公佈,但可能引發歐元的回檔。 投資者預計核心通膨率將從4%降至3.8%。 年通貨膨脹率預計將從3.1%小幅上升至3.2%。 如果這個數字更高,可能會引發美元升值。

不斷下降的通膨讓交易員們相信未來將會降息,但這種前景的任何變化都可能導致押注出清。 通貨膨脹率環比增長預計為0.3%,這是自2021年5月以來核心價格年度增長的最慢速度。 因此,市場定位偏向通膨放緩和聯準會降息。

聯準會從最新的會議記錄中刪除了有關衰退的言論,也改善了市場情緒。 聯準會最近三次會議的記錄中沒有出現「衰退」一詞,這三次會議是在去年9月至12月舉行的。 然而,從2022年11月開始的七次會議記錄中,這個詞出現了十幾次。

隨著經濟衰退的可能性減弱以及央行降息,市場應該會得到支撐。 但歐元目前因近期漲勢過度而面臨風險。 美國更加頑固的通膨可能會削弱歐元的看漲勢頭。

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