差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

隨著通膨的公佈,英鎊兌美元可能進一步下跌

英國經濟即將公佈的通膨數據可能會進一步損害英鎊兌美元。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart

英鎊兌美元-日圖

英鎊兌美元已突破上行阻力位,並可能進一步下跌,1.25為回檔的初始目標。

更強的就業數據並未給英鎊支撐,英國經濟比預期多2.3萬個就業機會。 然而,失業率仍維持在4.2%左右。

核心通膨率將於週三香港時間下午3點公佈,預計將從3.9%降至3.8%。 這消除了英鎊利率上升的一些可能性。

該國更快的降息可能會帶來更大幅度的通膨下降,也將提振經濟。

隔夜還會有進一步的美國經濟數據,預計零售額將從0.3%小幅上升至0.4%。 更高的數字可能會提振當前美元的強勢。 有關數字將於香港時間晚上九時三十分公佈。

到週五,美國消費者信心指數才會公佈。 因此,週三的趨勢應該會延續到週末,其中英國通膨是最重要的。

選舉話題席捲英國,預計今年稍後將進行投票。

根據最新的民意調查,保守黨將以13.5%的劣勢落敗。 這可能對英鎊今年不利,因為投資者考慮工黨政府的稅收和支出政策。

英鎊兌美元最近的高點可能會繼續發揮回調的作用,導致趨勢轉向看跌。 美國將在今年稍後舉行大選。 在愛荷華州的投票中,唐納德·川普作為共和黨選民的選擇牢牢地控制著局面。 然而,由於競爭對手民主黨希望他退出競選,今年的局勢可能會變得緊張。 另一場關於債務的爭論在美國若隱若現,但通常它們被通過的可能性更大。

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