差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

通膨低於預期英鎊兌美元進一步回撤

由於英國通膨進一步放緩,英鎊兌美元可能回吐近期由於聯準會暗示降息帶來的漲幅。

GBPUSD - Daily Chart

英鎊兌美元-日圖

英鎊兌美元在1.2734的阻力位遭到拒絕,可能會出現對1.25的修正。

英國國家統計局表示,該國11月份的通貨膨脹率從10月的4.6%降至3.9%。這是自2021年9月以來的最低水平,遠低於經濟學家預期的4.4%。燃料成本的下降推動了價格的下跌,同時食品通膨也在放緩。

市場目前認為,英國央行最早在明年3月降息的可能性為50%,從目前的5.25%降至5%,5月前降息的可能性接近80%。還有人預計,到明年,利率可能會低至3.75%。

在美國暫停升息和最近轉向降息談判之際,英鎊一直在上漲。但現在英國利率可能會跟著美國走低,市場將看到英國經濟比美國更疲軟。這可能推動英鎊進一步回調。

Finalto首席市場分析師Neil Wilson表示,通膨數據是「送給財政大臣、英國央行和英國經濟的聖誕禮物」。

週五香港時間下午3點將公佈英國經濟成長數據,最終數據預估為0.6%,但經濟一直走弱。美國個人消費支出和消費者信心數據將在晚間公佈。如果數據支持這一點,交易者應該尋找近期英鎊兌美元漲幅的潛在回檔。

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