差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

德國股市在經濟放緩的情況下發出潛在高位警告

一系列不利的因素可能會給德國股市帶來壓力。

GER30 – Weekly Chart

GER30 – 週線圖

德國股市在 16,300 點遭到拒絕,有可能創下長期高點。這個價格水平在2021年曾經是市場的頂部。

隨著歐元在經濟困境中苦苦掙扎,德國股市可能會出現海外投資撤出。德國經濟本月就開始進入衰退,令分析師感到意外。

這可能會導致歐元回落,而美國也即將達成債務上限協議,這可能會導緻美元上漲。美元走軟一直是歐洲股市走強的推動因素。

中國經濟復甦放緩也給德國市場帶來壓力,今早公佈的數據顯示製造業放緩。價格壓力有所緩解對歐洲市場有利,法國 5 月份通脹降幅超過預期,而德國國家數據也顯示通脹壓力較小。

德國股市預測

儘管歐洲最大經濟體的食品價格大幅上漲近 15%,但德國通貨膨脹率在連續數月下降後於 5 月份放緩至 6.1%。初步數據顯示,年通脹率低於4月份的7.2%。這可能會緩解人們對歐洲央行進一步收緊貨幣政策的擔憂。

根據德國聯邦統計局的數據,德國 1 月至 3 月的國內生產總值下降了 0.3。這些數據對德國政府來說是一個打擊,由於在幾週前擔心的冬季能源緊縮並未發生後,德國政府剛剛將今年的增長預期翻了一番。

今年前三個月德國的投資有所增長,德國經濟有望在第二季度實現增長。然而,海外投資者可能認為歐元走弱是套現的時機,而 GER30 則面臨強勁阻力位的風險。上週該市場創下歷史新高,但此後有所回落。

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