差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

金價繼續受到加息步伐的支持

黃金價格受到各國央行近期言論的支撐。

由於各國央行暗示將放緩加息,黃金價格連續第四個交易日走高。

黃金日圖

Gold: Daily Chart

分析師指出,美元走軟和中國央行購買黃金是金價上漲的關鍵原因。

下周美聯儲將召開最新一次會議,預計美聯儲將把加息幅度降至0.5個百分點。然而,交易員將希望通脹和加息進一步明確。 1800美元是黃金的阻力位,可能會在央行會議之前受到考驗。

世界黃金協會最近發布了2023年經濟展望,並表示:

“全球經濟在經歷了過去一年的各種衝擊後,正處於拐點。最大的波動是由各國央行在加大力度抗擊通脹時引發的。”

“展望未來,通脹和央行干預之間的相互作用將是決定2023年前景和黃金表現的關鍵。”“經濟共識認為,全球增長將趨弱,類似於一場短暫的、可能是局部的衰退,通貨膨脹下降但上升;以及大多數發達市場加息的結束。”

“也就是說,對2023年的普遍預期存在著異常高的不確定性。”例如,如果各國央行收緊的力度超過了必要的水平,就可能導致更嚴重和更廣泛的衰退。同樣,央行突然改變路線——在通貨膨脹得到控制之前停止或逆轉加息——可能會讓全球經濟搖搖欲墜地接近滯脹。從歷史上看,黃金對這些環境的反應是積極的。

下周美聯儲和歐洲央行的會議將是金價未來走勢的重要組成部分。 1800美元是阻力位,投資者將2000美元視為更高的目標位。

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