差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

基於選舉的不確定性,黃金價格再創新高

黃金價格週三觸及歷史新高,受美國和日本政治不確定性加劇之際對避險資產的需求增加所推動。

最初,金價本週開局疲軟,因以色列對伊朗的攻擊沒有預期那麼激烈,暗示中東緊張局勢可能有所緩和。

然而,即將於11月5日舉行的2024年美國總統大選將避險投資的需求保持強勁。在執政的自民黨領導的執政聯盟在最近的選舉中失去多數席位後,日本的政治不確定性也有所上升,進一步刺激了對避險資產的需求。

現貨黃金價格上漲0.4%,至每盎司2,785.47美元,當日早些時候觸及2,790.01美元的歷史高點,而12月黃金期貨價格上漲0.6%,至每盎司2,796.85美元。

隨著美國總統大選的臨近,唐納德·川普和卡瑪拉·哈里斯繼續進行勢均力敵的競選,市場仍然緊張。最近的民調顯示,川普略微領先,儘管分析人士認為結果過於接近,難以預測。

在日本,自民黨最近的選舉失利帶來了更多的不確定性,因為它必須尋求與地區政黨結盟才能有效執政,這可能會削弱其影響力。在中東,緊張局勢持續存在,伊朗誓言要對以色列最近的襲擊進行報復,而以色列繼續對哈馬斯和真主黨採取軍事行動,這表明局勢緩和的空間有限。

經濟和利率數據,如美國第三季GDP數據和非農業就業數據,在塑造投資者人氣方面發揮重要作用。 PCE物價指數是聯準會偏好的通膨指標。這些數據公佈後,聯準會下週將召開會議,預計將溫和降息25個基點。美國較低的利率通常對黃金等非收益資產有利。

避險需求也支撐了其他貴金屬,鉑金期貨下跌3.7%,至每盎司1,020.20美元,白銀期貨下跌1.5%,至每盎司33.94美元。工業金屬方面,倫敦金屬交易所銅期貨上漲0.1%,至每噸9,564.00美元,但10月面臨重大跌幅。

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