差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

儘管近期金價有所上漲,但仍處於一年以來的區間

儘管存在地緣政治方面的擔憂,但黃金價格今年仍處於區間內,並等待突破。

Gold – Weekly Chart

黃金-週線圖

9月金價曾跌至每盎司1,811美元,但在中東緊張局勢的推動下,金價飆升。 價格需要突破2067美元的水平才能進一步上漲。 疲軟可能會維持在1,900美元的水準。

上週,由於美元走軟,金價走高。 然而,以色列和哈馬斯之間停火交換人質減少了對中東緊張局勢的一些擔憂。

由於是美國的感恩節週末,市場進入周末後清淡。 週三公佈的數據顯示,上周美國首次申請失業救濟人數下降幅度超過預期,投資人降低了對2024年降息的預期。 儘管聯準會大舉升息,但就業市場依然強勁。

高盛是看好金價走強的公司之一。 他們表示:「金價的潛在上行將與美國實際利率和美元走勢密切相關,但我們也預計,中國和印度的消費者需求將持續強勁,加上央行的購買,將抵消經濟增長意外上行和降息重新 定價帶來的下行壓力。”

週日,美國銀行還表示,隨著“聯準會降息推動實際利率走低”,黃金應該會從2024年第二季開始升值。

Gold IRA的利亞姆·亨特強調了全球衝突的威脅,他說:

對一場不受控制的地區戰爭可能擾亂全球市場和供應鏈的擔憂,促使資本逃離高風險股票等投機性資產,湧向黃金。

金價可能在年底出現一些盤整,但測試2067美元並非不合理。 到了2024年,市場已經消化了聯準會將降息的預期,這還有待觀察。

投資人應該把烏克蘭和以色列視為導火線。 然而,也不能排除美國債務和融資情勢持續惡化的可能性。

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