差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在降息猜測下,黃金處於區間交易

週三,亞洲黃金價格小幅上漲,在過去兩週觀察到的穩定區間內徘徊。市場上充斥著對聯準會何時開始降息的猜測。

在工業金屬市場,銅價跌至近一個月低點,回吐了5月觸及紀錄高點時的大部分漲幅。油價下跌之際,人們對全球經濟成長放緩的擔憂日益加劇。

隨著美元本週跌至兩個月來的最低水平,金價有所回落。不過,美元週三顯示出溫和復甦的跡象。

GOLD – 4-Hour Chart

現貨黃金上漲0.4%,至每盎司2,337.35美元,8月交割的黃金期貨上漲0.4%,至每盎司2,357.05美元。不過,現貨金仍在每盎司2,300 – 2,350美元窄幅震盪,自5月觸及紀錄高點以來,該區間已維持近兩週。

交易員一直不願大舉押注黃金,儘管疲軟的美國經濟數據加劇了人們對聯準會可能在9月開始降息的猜測。週二令人失望的職缺報告,以及疲軟的PMI和GDP數據的下修,都增加了市場人氣。

交易員們對9月的降息越來越有信心。不過,在周五非農就業數據公佈前,市場仍持謹慎態度。非農就業資料料將提供更清晰的就業市場資訊。

聯準會定於下週召開會議,由於美國持續的通貨膨脹,市場普遍預期利率將維持不變。

其他貴金屬的價格週三也出現了波動。白金期貨下跌0.2%,至每盎司995.50美元,白銀期貨上漲0.8%,至每盎司29.863美元。週二,這兩種金屬均大幅下跌。

在工業金屬市場,倫敦金屬交易所指標期銅微漲至每噸9,975.50美元,一個月期銅漲至每磅4.5497美元。兩份合約都接近一個月來最低水平,基本上抹去了5月觸及紀錄高位時的漲幅。

由於美國和中國公佈的經濟數據不溫不火,引發對全球經濟成長放緩的擔憂,對銅的需求產生負面影響,銅價下跌。

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