差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

黃金(XAUUSD)超越美元成避險之王:逼近2000美元

週五,黃金價格在關鍵水平附近持穩,走勢連續第三週超越美元,因有跡象顯示美聯儲的鷹派立場有所減弱,且銀行業出現動盪,投資者紛紛尋求黃金避險。如果維持目前水平,黃金價格也有望連續第四周上漲,因美元兌一籃子貨幣跌至七週低點。

現貨黃金日圖

本週早些時候,美聯儲決定提高利率,美元隨之走軟。不過,這意味著利率峰值可能即將到來。最近的一場銀行業危機表明,高借貸成本對經濟的影響越來越大。現貨黃金維持在每盎司1993.60美元附近,而黃金期貨則穩定在每盎司1995.65美元。

現貨金本週上漲約0.2%,而黃金期貨價格有望上漲1%。金價距離2020年COVID-19大流行期間每盎司20744.88美元的歷史高點不到100美元。

過去三週,由於擔心危機蔓延,美國幾家地區性銀行的倒閉導致投資者蜂擁購買黃金。儘管監管機構進行了乾預,以恢復市場對銀行體系的信心,但市場仍對任何進一步的動盪保持警惕。

美聯儲軟化其鷹派立場也引發了對銀行業崩潰的擔憂,儘管美國財長耶倫試圖讓投資者相信銀行業的穩定。在過去12個月累計加息475個基點後,市場目前預計美聯儲今年餘下時間可能只會加息一次。

黃金價格(XAUUSD)預測

美聯儲暫停加息週期對黃金有利,2022年全年,美元走強和收益率上升令黃金承壓。金價還受益於今年經濟放緩的不確定性。其他貴金屬週五表現平平,但本週走勢波動。

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