差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

紐西蘭經濟衰退加深,紐元兌日圓大跌

週四日本數據公佈前,紐元兌日圓匯率大幅下跌。

NZDJPY – Daily Chart

紐元兌日圓-日圖

紐元兌日圓已經跌破88,支撐位在86以下。 2024年的低點可能會受到低於這一水準的威脅。

香港時間上午5點45分,紐西蘭經濟GDP成長數據顯示,由於高利率,紐西蘭經濟在第二和第三季遭受了比預期更嚴重的衰退。紐西蘭統計局表示,截至9月的三個月,GDP下降了1%。經濟學家預計會收縮0.2%。第二季度,GDP從最初公佈的-0.2%修正為-1.1%。最新數據公佈後,日本央行將公佈利率決定和貨幣政策聲明。市場正在尋找日本央行何時升息的訊號。

市場不排除日本央行降息0.25%的可能性,週三公佈的出口數據再次提振了日本經濟。 11月份出口連續第二個月成長,突顯全球需求強勁,但這種強勁需求日後可能受到美國貿易保護主義政策的影響。

11月份出口總額年增3.8%,高於市場預期的2.8%和10月的3.1%。 11月份日本對最大貿易夥伴中國的出口較上年同期成長4.1%。對美國的出口下降了8%。 11月份進口年減3.8%,而市場預期為成長1%。

路透社的一項調查顯示,近四分之三的日本公司擔心川普的下一任美國總統任期會對商業環境產生負面影響。日本央行總裁植田和男曾表示,如果經濟和物價走勢與預期相符,央行將繼續升息。然而,路透社消息人士稱,由於海外風險,央行本週傾向於維持利率穩定。

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