差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在延續趨勢中交易紐元/美元

紐元兌美元在0.5590這一水平找到了強有力的支撐。

交易員可以利用明天新西蘭央行的新聞發布會,尋找一個潛在的進場機會。

紐元/美元日圖

nzdusd daily chart 0-Nov-22-2022-03-55-37-0105-AM

目前的匯價是0.6098,距離支撐位有約400點的空間。

預計新西蘭央行將史無前例地加息75個基點,以控制通脹。

根據彭博社對15位經濟學家的調查,將把基準利率從3.5%提高到4.25%。這將是新西蘭央行自1999年推出OCR以來最大幅度的加息,也將是2008年以來的最高水平。

在連續5次加息50個基點後,不斷上升的通脹和近乎創紀錄的低失業率為新西蘭央行再次加息開了綠燈。此舉與全球其它央行形成鮮明對比,後者對經濟增長越來越悲觀。

新西蘭央行駐惠靈頓的研究主管Stephen Toplis表示:“最近公佈的數據明確表明,應該表現出更積極的姿態。但遠期指標表明,應該採取更為謹慎的做法。”

一些經濟學家認為,新西蘭央行可能會選擇加息50個基點。這源於近期收緊政策的全面影響尚未顯現,因為許多接受固定抵押貸款利率的家庭尚未展期。

澳大利亞央行10月將利率上調25個基點,歸咎於借貸成本上升對家庭的影響。在通脹趨軟後,美聯儲暗示將放緩加息政策的步伐。

澳新銀行新西蘭首席經濟學家Sharon Zollner說,新西蘭央行應該控制住通脹,即使這可能對經濟造成一些負面影響。

“不要低估這裡的利害關係,央行的通脹目標信譽以一種相當二元的方式處於危險之中。在潛在的遺憾方面,造成經濟著陸比必要情況稍困難的風險是無法與之相比的。”

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