差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

受歐佩克產量猜測影響,油價反彈消退

在交易員猜測石油輸出國組織(OPEC)增產後,油價週一的漲勢消退。

USOIL – Daily Chart

美國原油期貨 -每日圖表

原油價格在測試76美元後下跌,目前正在考慮測試71.725美元的潛在支撐。

在中東緊張局勢加劇後,油價上週一反彈。但這種力量並沒有持續下去,石油又消失了。

另一個影響因素是對明年原油前景的負面看法,在全球供應飆升之際,高盛和摩根士丹利下調了價格預期。

這兩家投資銀行目前預計,2025年全球基準布蘭特原油均價將低於每桶80美元,高盛預測下調至77美元,摩根士丹利預計期貨價格在75美元至78美元之間。兩家公司都預期原油市場將過剩,未來12個月油價將走低。

高盛分析師寫道,石油輸出國組織及其盟友(統稱為歐佩克+)決定扭轉自願減產的局面,也可能「從戰略上約束非歐佩克國家的供應」。

儘管人們對聯準會將降息的信心日益增強,但投資人仍對原油前景持看跌態度。基金經理人一直在拋售原油期貨和選擇權,因空頭回補的漲勢失去動力,負面情緒捲土重來。

歐佩克將在未來兩週召開會議,這將是推動油價上漲的關鍵因素。

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