差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

儘管加息週期已經結束,但銀價再次陷入困境

儘管各國央行暫緩加息政策,但白銀價格已連續第四周下跌。

silver-weekly-chart-struggles

XAGUSD – 週線圖

白銀價格正在測試 23.00 美元的上升趨勢線,並在 22.00 美元水平有進一步支撐。

貴金屬投資者面臨的另一個問題是發達國家的通脹率下降。許多投資者購買貴金屬來對沖通脹,但許多國家接近兩位數的通脹峰值已經停滯不前。

美國的年度通脹率季節性上升,從 3% 升至 3.2%,但核心通脹率降至 4.7%。分析師仍在討論美聯儲還有很長的路要走,但以目前通脹率為 3.2%來看,距離央行 2% 的目標僅差 1.2%。

Corpay 的卡爾·沙莫塔 (Karl Schamotta) 寫道:“在美國消費者通脹如預期放緩,減少了美聯儲進一步收緊貨幣政策的必要性後,市場今早加倍押注‘軟著陸’。”

週四的進一步數據顯示,本周初請失業金人數增加 21,000 人,經季節調整後為 248,000 人。經濟學家預計最近一周將有 23 萬人申請失業救濟,這表明蓬勃發展的就業市場正在放緩的跡象。

市場目前預計美聯儲 9 月再次暫停加息的可能性很大,但加息政策可能已經結束。

白銀供應仍然存在有利的動態,《2023 年世界白銀調查》稱,白銀市場在過去兩年一直處於赤字狀態。 2022年的赤字為2.377億盎司,而2023年的赤字預計為1.421億盎司。

分析師認為,隨著綠色能源政策的推動以及對太陽能電池板和電動汽車的需求,這種情況將繼續下去。

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