差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

基於美國經濟衰退的擔憂,股市暴跌債券上漲

週一,全球股市暴跌,債券價格飆升。對美國可能陷入衰退的擔憂日益加劇,促使投資者逃離風險資產,押注於聯準會迅速降息以支持經濟成長。

重點:

  • 美股期貨大跌:那斯達剋期貨跌2.27%,標普500期貨跌1.41%
  • 亞洲股市遭受重創:日經指數下跌5.5%,創七個月新低
  • 美國公債殖利率暴跌:10年期公債殖利率跌至3.723%,為2023年中以來的最低水平

市場預期聯準會將大幅降息:9月降息50個基點的可能性為70%

拋售在亞洲尤其嚴重,日本日經指數經歷了2011年金融危機以來最大的三個交易日跌幅。摩根士丹利資本國際(MSCI)除日本外最廣泛的亞太股指下跌2.0%,歐洲股指期貨也開低。

債券市場大幅反彈,10年期美國公債殖利率跌至3.723%,為2023年中以來的最低水準。此舉反映出人們對聯準會大幅降息的預期日益增強。

高盛分析師指出:「將未來12個月經濟衰退的可能性提高了10個百分點,至25%。」他們將9月、11月和12月降息25個基點納入了預測。

摩根大通的立場更為悲觀,認為美國經濟衰退的可能性為50%,並預期聯準會將在9月和11月的會議上降息50個基點。

貨幣市場對利率格局的變化做出了反應,美元兌主要貨幣走弱。歐元兌美元持穩於1.0920美元,日圓兌美元升至144.99美元。

大宗商品油價從8個月低點小幅反彈,布蘭特原油上漲27美分,每桶77.08美元。然而,對需求的擔憂繼續令市場承壓。

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