差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美國原油價格鎖定低點,尋求突破70美元

由於交易員考慮到供應可能減少,油價一直在從近期低點回升。

USOIL-–-Daily-Chart-1

USOIL -每日圖表

目前,美國原油正在65美元附近的2024年低點再次尋求支撐。目前油價正在尋求70美元以上的走勢,以確保上述水準作為中期低點。

美國財政部宣布了另一輪與伊朗有關的製裁,目標還包括一家獨立的中國煉油廠和其他參與向中國供應伊朗原油的實體。市場得到的訊息是,身為伊朗石油的最大買家,中國企業也無法免受美國制裁壓力的影響。

這是自川普總統承諾「最大壓力」並承諾將伊朗石油出口降至零以來,華盛頓對德黑蘭的第四輪制裁。越來越嚴厲的製裁制度可能會使一些市場參與者在未來與伊朗公司打交道時更加謹慎,並可能限制全球供應。

澳新銀行分析師表示,由於制裁收緊,他們預期伊朗原油出口量將減少100萬桶/天。 2月份伊朗原油出口量超過180萬桶/日。

石油價格也受到OPEC+ 7個成員國計畫進一步減產的提振,以彌補產量高於先前商定的水平。該計劃意味著在2026年6月之前,每月減產18.9萬桶至43.5萬桶。

歐佩克+本月稍早表示,其八個成員國將繼續從4月開始每月增加13.8萬桶/天。目標是扭轉2022年達成的585萬桶/天的減產協議,以支持市場。

在油價進一步上漲之前,石油市場參與者希望看到伊拉克、哈薩克和俄羅斯遵守減產計畫的證據。在油田擴張後,哈薩克3月的石油產量創下歷史新高。

如果原油價格能以上述價位為低點,石油公司的股票就能找到動力。

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