差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

GDP數據公佈前,美股仍處於調整狀態

在周四GDP數據公佈之前,美國股指周三繼續下跌。

SP500 – Weekly Chart

標普500指數-週圖

標準普爾500指數將測試自6月中旬以來一直發揮作用的上行通道阻力位。這將是防止進一步回調至5330點或5194點水平的重要屏障。

週二晚些時候,特斯拉和Alphabet發布了令人失望的財報,導致股市走低。兩家公司在最近的報告中都對利潤率敲響了警鐘。在一個充滿挑戰和放緩的市場中,特斯拉的降價和激勵策略導致第二季汽車毛利率為14.6%,低於分析師預期的16.29%。

投資人可能會在微軟、Meta、蘋果、亞馬遜和英偉達等其他重要科技公司下周公布業績前獲利了結。

高盛分析師在一份報告中表示:「在特斯拉能夠開始生產新的低成本車型(該公司預計在2025年上半年開始生產)之前,我們認為定價/激勵措施可能仍然是一個關鍵的需求槓桿,並對利潤率構成壓力。

Alphabet表示,隨著公司測試新產品,今年基於人工智慧的支出將增加,這也引發了對利潤率的擔憂。

市場目前正期待週四的GDP報告和週五的個人消費支出平減指數報告,以了解通膨何時可能降至足以讓聯準會降息的水平。個人消費支出指數是聯準會青睞的通膨指標,分析師預期該指數年增幅將從2.6%降至2.4%。預計第二季的GDP數據將從1.4%上升至2%。

市場認為,在7月30日至31日的聯邦公開市場委員會會議上降息25個基點至7%的可能性不大,但在9月17日至18日的會議上降息的可能性為100% 。

本週的數據對於支持這些預期是必要的,而GDP和通膨的上升將在下週重大財報發布之前加劇股市的回調。

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