差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元/加元聚焦鮑威爾講話及加央行決議帶來波動

美元兌加元將迎來繁忙的一天,包括貿易帳和加拿大央行利率以及鮑威爾第二天的證詞。

美元/加元日圖

USDCAD – Daily Chart

美元兌加元在1.36-3650水平找到了阻力位,並將關注本週的事件以尋找方向。

美聯儲主席鮑威爾週二開始向國會作證,並將於週三繼續作證。分析人士預計,鮑威爾不會偏離他最近在利率問題上的鷹派立場太遠。

加拿大將在今天公佈貿易帳數據,分析師預計該數據為-0.06億加元,而上個月為-1.6億加元。

隨後,加拿大央行將公佈利率決定。經濟學家預計,加央行將在4.5%的水平上停止最近的加息。加拿大可能已經扭轉了通貨膨脹的局面,但央行可能不得不等待物價達到2%的目標。

在對加拿大的最新調查中,經濟合作與發展組織(OECD)預測今年的GDP增長為1.3%,2024年為1.5%。

經合組織首席經濟學家Alvaro Pereira表示:“與許多經濟體一樣,加拿大面臨著在不損害經濟活動的情況下應對通脹的艱鉅挑戰。”

“財政和貨幣政策需要協同工作,在政府支撐公共財政的同時緩解通脹壓力。與此同時,還需要做更多的工作,通過消除內部貿易和競爭壁壘來提高生產率,”Alvaro Pereira補充說。

在貨幣政策方面,經合組織預計通貨膨脹率將在2024年底降至加拿大央行2%的目標。週五將公佈最新的美國非農就業數據,美元兌加元應該會從中發現趨勢。由於本週將有大量數據公佈,該貨幣對應能突破近期高位,或提供繼續走低的賣出信號。

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