差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元兌日圓可能因央行決策而面臨波動

近兩日,日本央行和聯準會將公佈利率決定和央行會議。

USDJPY-–-Daily-Chart

美元兌日圓-日線圖

美元兌日圓位於8月高點和11月支撐位的重要水準之間。下跌或上漲可能標誌著中期趨勢走勢。

日本央行總裁將於香港時間週三下午2:30召開記者會。聯準會將在凌晨2點公佈其利率會議,隨後將舉行新聞發布會,美元兌日圓可能在本週末有一個明確的趨勢。

交易員預計,日本央行本月將暫停其升息週期,此前日本央行將政策利率上調至0.50%,為17年來的最高水平,而日本仍將2%的通膨目標定為目標。儘管人們對貿易戰和經濟放緩的擔憂日益加劇,但日本央行行長植田和男及其同事繼續暗示,如果通貨膨脹率達到2%,將進一步升息。

日本的通貨膨脹處於2023年1月以來的最高水平,1月份消費者物價指數為4%,不含食品和能源的核心通貨膨脹率從上月的2.4%上升至2.5%。

「長期利率受多種因素影響。但最大的決定因素是市場對短期政策利率前景的預測,」上田說。

人們普遍預計聯準會將維持利率不變,新聞發布會可能會對最近的貿易動向和美元的低迷發表一些有趣的評論。

川普在前幾個月一直批評聯準會主席,並可能對聯準會的任何批評做出反應。財政部長史考特貝森特和川普表示,經濟將出現短期動盪,但在市場穩定後,美國將恢復強勢。

在接下來的幾天裡,美元兌日圓可能會突破149.50並繼續前進。

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