差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

日本央行利率猜測導致日圓大跌

有關日本央行不會很快升息的報告對日圓造成了傷害。

USDJPY – Daily Chart

美元兌日圓-日圖

美元兌日圓在142附近找到了支撐位,並可能在144.50附近看到關鍵支撐位。

由於市場猜測日本央行最快將於本月升息,日圓上週錄得多年來最大單日漲幅。 這將給套息交易者帶來很大的痛苦,他們利用收益較高的美元來獲得利差。

然而,日經指數的消息顯示,日本央行近期不會升息。 彭博社報道稱,央行認為「沒有必要在12月結束負利率」。 這導緻美元兌日圓週日大幅上漲,空頭回補,多頭回潮。

根據彭博社報道,日本央行官員上週發表了一些鴿派言論,但現在認為「沒有必要急於在本月取消全球最後一次負利率」。 據說官員們正在尋找工資增長的進一步證據。

渣打銀行駐東京金融市場主管Fukuhiro Ezawa表示,該報告終結了提前結束負利率的可能性。 “但要看到美元/日元升穿147,就必須確認聯邦公開市場委員會點陣圖或日本央行會議中沒有任何內容,” Ezawa稱。

隨著更多經濟數據的出爐,本週該貨幣對應該會帶來更多波動。 美國通膨和聯準會利率決定將是周二(香港時間晚上8:30)和週三(香港時間凌晨2點30分)的關鍵數據。

分析師預計,本週通膨將下降,聯準會不會採取利率調整行動。

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