差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

近期漲勢暫停後黃金價格可能進一步走高

黃金價格在過去兩週已經降溫,但本周可能會走高。

黃金周圖

Gold – Weekly Chart

目前黃金價格為1968美元,有可能再次突破2000美元。

隨著最近美國銀行業動盪,黃金價格一直受到追捧。儘管如此,該國仍面臨著前總統特朗普可能被捕的新問題。

市場正在強調政治動蕩的可能性,這種動盪可能會持續一年半,直到2024年的總統大選。黃金在2023年也受到央行持續買入的支撐。隨著投資者轉向避險資產,央行增持股票,今年黃金需求增長了20%以上。由於美國政治的不確定性,金價本周可能會進一步上漲。

黃金價格預計將繼續攀升至2000美元

最近的數據也支撐了黃金。美國第四季度國內生產總值增速從2.7%下調至2.6%。這可能會讓市場評論人士更加一致地預計,美國將放緩或降息。

美國DoubleLine Capital的投資者Jeffrey Gundlach表示,美聯儲可能不得不在利率問題上讓步。

Gundlach表示,美國央行現在必須在對抗通脹和放緩經濟增長之間做出選擇。他對CNBC表示:“經濟逆風正在積聚,我們討論這個問題已經有一段時間了,我認為經濟衰退幾個月後就會到來。”

摩根士丹利首席美國經濟學家邁克•威爾遜在接受彭博電視台採訪時表示:“市場會經歷我稱之為滾動熊市或滾動衰退的時期。”本週,他告訴投資者,股市面臨著過去一年裡最高的下行風險。

交易員可以利用市場上的這種負面情緒,推動金價走高,而2000美元是本週的目標。

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